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Thinking

Confirmation bias

The default habit of noticing evidence that fits your existing view and skimming past what does not.

1 min read

Reviewed by Shariq Refai, MD, MBA, FAPA. Verify: ORCID, Wikidata, NPI Registry, all links.

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Confirmation bias is the tendency to seek, notice, and remember information that supports what you already believe, and to overlook, dismiss, or forget information that does not. Everyone does it. It is the reason two thoughtful people can read the same article and come away more certain of opposite conclusions.

Confirmation bias A funnel showing evidence entering the top; evidence that supports a prior belief flows through into the belief, while contradicting evidence is deflected sideways. Existing belief Ambient evidence, news, arguments, data yes no yes no deflected deflected
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How it works

Selective attention

The brain scans for what fits. Same feed, same room, same conversation, and two people leave with different highlights.

Selective memory

Confirming events get stored with detail. Disconfirming events fade. Over time this makes past experience feel like proof, when it is really a filter.

Biased search

You Google in ways that favor your view. "Why is X bad" and "why is X good" return two different internets.

Motivated reasoning

When new information threatens something you care about, effort goes into finding reasons to reject it rather than weighing it.

In relationships and mental health

In depression it locks onto evidence you are unworthy. In anxiety it locks onto evidence you are unsafe. In conflict it locks onto evidence the other person is the problem.

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Worth knowing

Confirmation bias is not a sign of low intelligence. In fact, more skilled reasoners are often better at generating supporting arguments for whatever they already believe. Intelligence sharpens the tool. Metacognition points the tool at the right target.

Studied experimentally since Peter Wason in the 1960s. Widely replicated across decision-making, medicine, politics, and clinical psychology.

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How to cite this page

Short
Confirmation bias. Shrinkopedia, medically reviewed by Shariq Refai, MD, MBA. https://shrinkopedia.com/library/confirmation-bias/
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Shrinkopedia. (n.d.). Confirmation bias. Medically reviewed by Shariq Refai, MD, MBA. https://shrinkopedia.com/library/confirmation-bias/
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"Confirmation bias." Shrinkopedia, https://shrinkopedia.com/library/confirmation-bias/.

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